This coming week's Giro

drheaton wrote:

Went all in on a sprint today, made all of my six changes to bring in sprinters.

At this point in time, with a penalty only costing 10 points, I figured it was worth chancing 6 top 10 finishes against three or four penalty transfers through the week.

Starting to think my best result is to sit quiet and pray for break to last.

Joelsim wrote:

I've managed to get 4 sprinters in for today and should be able to get 4 in for Friday too with no penalties, plus ensuring I have a chance of some decent points tmw and Thursday.

That's the plan anyway!

It's is certain make or break time is fantasy, you could go a few ways here over next couple stages, BIG shake up I feel.
My purist team is starting to fall apart now, losing Matthews and Chicci (didn't expect much more, got his pts.) Lucky my last sprinter in there is Nizzolo and I know he would love to win his first Giro stage soon

Ghedebrav wrote:

Barring a not-impossible breakaway win, I reckon Bouhanni's nailed on for this. He's still not in the same class as Kittel/Cav/Greipel though, a shame Kittel retired.

Anyone else fancy Pozzivivo for the podium, by the way? His odds have been slashed ( though I got a small sum on him e/w at 28/1 before kickoff).

Kittel = Fastest in the world maybe...
Cav = Best in the world...
Greipel = My fav sprinter and nicest? in the world We love him in down under, supported our tour every year.

Pozzo, might actually enjoy this TT and showed he still got the legs and form he showed earlier in season on stage 9. Bookies might have thought he had gone over the top (peaked) when he got left a tad on stage 8.
Quintana hasn't really got me enthused at all so far this season.
Pozz have to be a E/W show , It's a long way home.

Joelsim wrote:

Theinvisiblecyclist wrote:

Well I thought , I swapped I changed I reset..... I eventually decided to risk 7 transfers and aim for a fh badge as well as a high score , 1 penalty offset by gc points etc ...... Who knows how this week is going to pan out but I've decided penalties are the way forwards.

Bold or stupid?

I decided against this move, as for every transfer you make today, you have to do another for tomorrow, and another for Wednesday, and another for Thursday and Friday. There is very little common ground.

So I've gone for some sprinters but also who have a small possibility of being useful for Wednesday, kept the GC boys in and have also kept Gasparotto for tomorrow. A couple of changes planned each day up until Friday. Not going big on the TT, just two.

There was talk of a certain OPQS rider making the TT his goal, not sure whether it's worth going for.

So, for me I hope I can get through the week with no penalties with a good squad for each day (Wednesday of course, who knows). A couple of transfers in the bank just in case, and plans already made for next week barring hiccoughs.

I'll be honest I eventually thought
" I've a good chance of getting a big score today if it pans out as it should while I believe a lot of ppl will play it cagey which in turn will mitigate against transfers over the next 2/3 days"

If it does work out then I should see a net gain by playing bold for this stage with the gc points negating the penalty and allowing me the choice of at least 2 penalties over the following two days ... That's 20 point loss for 13 changes in 3 stages , it will be interesting to see which of our strategies works out at least

how did I get this mess Just said , Hate to be around if a break wins
[/quote]
I'll be honest I eventually thought
" I've a good chance of getting a big score today if it pans out as it should while I believe a lot of ppl will play it cagey which in turn will mitigate against transfers over the next 2/3 days"

If it does work out then I should see a net gain by playing bold for this stage with the gc points negating the penalty and allowing me the choice of at least 2 penalties over the following two days ... That's 20 point loss for 13 changes in 3 stages , it will be interesting to see which of our strategies works out at least :)[/quote]

Joelsim wrote:

Theinvisiblecyclist wrote:

Well I thought , I swapped I changed I reset..... I eventually decided to risk 7 transfers and aim for a fh badge as well as a high score , 1 penalty offset by gc points etc ...... Who knows how this week is going to pan out but I've decided penalties are the way forwards.

Bold or stupid?

I decided against this move, as for every transfer you make today, you have to do another for tomorrow, and another for Wednesday, and another for Thursday and Friday. There is very little common ground.

So I've gone for some sprinters but also who have a small possibility of being useful for Wednesday, kept the GC boys in and have also kept Gasparotto for tomorrow. A couple of changes planned each day up until Friday. Not going big on the TT, just two.

There was talk of a certain OPQS rider making the TT his goal, not sure whether it's worth going for.

So, for me I hope I can get through the week with no penalties with a good squad for each day (Wednesday of course, who knows). A couple of transfers in the bank just in case, and plans already made for next week barring hiccoughs.

Smart move I feel, don't want to be to sprinter heavy as none of them that can TT will get over this one, maybe EBH.
Pissed myself laughing, when I read your OPQs comment. If it is who I think it is , he has shown a bit of his old form lately, tho I don't think I will be using him. Good Luck

Ghedebrav wrote:

While the Giro itself won't be won this week, I think the Fantasy Giro might be...

I have to agree , roughly 100 points separate the top 14 or 15 in fs league .....I'm a few points behind you and only 37 of joel which is why I've spent the last 2 hours deliberating on how to use my transfers over the next 3 days ....currently have 6 to use but no idea still on what to

chrisdstripes wrote:

I'm doing badly in this, so will probably go stage-hunting, eg make my TT transfers a day early so I don't incur pens on the day, that kind of thing. Will end up with some very poor stages, but hopefully a couple of really good ones as well.

My main hope of getting something out of this is backing Kelderman at 150/1 each-way a few weeks ago...

nice i got some 200 win only on betfair- and he wont win! but also got some 9/4 on a top 10 placing and that is looking good.

now, onto next week- sorry, havent got a clue what to do!

Joelsim wrote:

Right, team for next 5 stages picked and written down!

LOL nice prep