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Autumn Statement – Jeremy Hunt denies plans to raise fuel duty plus the BBC ‘road tax’ row

Tory backbench MPs call for tax on fuel to be frozen again as Office for Budget Responsibility suggests 23 per cent rise coming in March

Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt, who made his Autumn Statement to the House of Commons yesterday, has denied he plans a 23 per cent hike in fuel duty – the first rise for more than a decade, and at odds with the policy adopted by his Tory predecessors in the post for more than a decade – which the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) suggested yesterday would come into force next March.

In an analysis published yesterday, the OBR, the non-departmental public body that oversees government finances, suggested that fuel duty would rise by 23 per cent with effect from March next year.

Among those reacting to the watchdog’s forecast of a rise in fuel duty was Howard Cox, founder of the lobby group Fair Fuel UK, which is funded in part by the road haulage industry, who described it as a “bombshell” and said he would fight it “tooth and nail.”

Rumours of the purported rise also sparked fury from backbench MPs, with former Education Minister Jonathan Gullis, writing on behalf of other MPs including former Home Secretary Priti Patel, urging Hunt to provide clarification on the issue.

“My fellow MPs and I, want to see fuel duty cut to stimulate growth, but at least frozen at the current level for the lifetime of this Parliament,” he wrote, with his letter retweeted by Cox, who was also mentioned in it.

But speaking on BBC Breakfast this morning, the Chancellor said: “Let me clear that up, that is not government policy. We will make a decision on that at the next budget in the Spring.

“That was just an assumption that the OBR made – they’re an independent organisation, they make assumptions. We have made no decision on that at all.”

With effect from 23 March this year, fuel duty for leaded petrol was cut by then Chancellor of the Exchequer, and now Prime Minister, Riishi Sunak by 5p to 62.67 pence per litre, and for unleaded petrol, diesel and biodiesel for road use by the same amount to 57.95 pence per litre – their lowest levels since 2009.

If it were to come into effect, a 23 per cent increase from next March would therefore see fuel duty on leaded petrol rise to 77.08 pence per litre, and for the other categories to 65.13 pence per litre – in both cases, the highest levels ever.

The Fuel Price Escalator was introduced by John Major’s Conservative government in March 1993 in an attempt to reduce pollution from vehicle emissions and reduce the need for building new roads to cope with the forecast increase in motor traffic in the years ahead.in

Initially, it was set at 3 per cent above inflation annually, and was increased later in 1993 to 5 per cent above inflation. After Labour came to power under Tony Blair in 1997, it was increased to 6 per cent above inflation, remaining there until 2000 when, following a national fuel shortage amid the rising price of oil, then Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown said that from then on it would only rise in line with inflation.

It was replaced by the Fuel Duty Stabiliser after the Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition came to power in 2010, and while Brown’s successor at Number 11, George Osborne, initially announced plans to increase it above inflation, those were subsequently abandoned.

Both he and subsequent Tory Chancellors have frozen it ever since, until Sunak actually cut it earlier this year – with their announcements that it is staying the same or going down always greeted by huge cheers from the government benches, waving their order papers at opposition MPs pledged to increase it. 

As the self-styled party of low taxation, any plans for a rise in fuel duty would almost certainly spark a revolt from backbench Tory MPs, many of whom, as expressed by Gullis in his letter, see it as a long-standing flagship policy, and one that differentiates the Tories from Labour.

'War on the motorist'

The first year of the Coalition also saw Local Government Secretary Eric Pickles and Transport Secretary Philip Hammond their intention to end to the so-called “war on the motorist” announcing that the government would no longer set national guidance to local authorities on car parking charges, and withholding funding for new speed cameras.

> Pickles and Hammond say end to “war on motorist” closer with parking charges rethink

Similar rhetoric was employed by Sunak this summer in his unsuccessful Conservative Party leadership campaign against Liz Truss (which could make some people wonder who exactly has been waging this supposed war over the past 12 years).

With his backers describing him as “the most pro-driver Chancellor in history,” Sunak said: “As Chancellor, I introduced the largest cut to fuel duty in a generation, and as Prime Minister I will go further so that we stop the war on motorists once and for all.”

> Rishi Sunak pledges to “stop war on motorists” and review LTNs

If, as Harold Wilson reputedly once said, “A week is a long time in politics,” then the three months that have elapsed since Sunak uttered those words constitute an eternity, and it’s notable that there was no mention of any planned increase in fuel duty within Hunt’s statement to the House of Commons yesterday – though given the recent turmoil in UK politics, whether that will still be the case when he, or whoever is Chancellor by then, announces the Spring Budget is anyone’s guess.

VED – not  “road tax” – extended to electric vehicles

Meanwhile, the BBC’s coverage of Hunt’s statement, in which he confirmed that Vehicle Excise Duty (VED) would be extended to electric vehicles, has been criticised due to its reference to “road tax” – something that hasn’t existed since 1937 – with one road.cc reader submitting a complaint to the broadcaster, accusing it of “pushing (yet again) an anti-cycling agenda.

> Electric car owners may have to pay VED – but there are plans to raise fuel duty by 23%

In his complaint to the BBC, road.cc reader hawkinspeter said wrote: “The article has a headline ‘Electric car drivers to pay road tax from April 2025’ and this is completely inaccurate. The article refers to VED and not ‘Road Tax’ as that hasn’t existed since 1937.

“What is particularly annoying about this is that a certain segment of the population refers to ‘Road Tax’ when complaining specifically about cyclists and so by putting ‘Road Tax’ into the headline, the BBC is pushing (yet again) an anti-cycling agenda and prompting yet more abuse against cyclists out on the road.

“There is literally no sensible reason to use the incorrect and out-of-date ‘Road Tax’ except to try to hurt people who cycle.”

As we pointed out on the live blog yesterday, it wasn’t just the BBC that used the misleading misnomer – HM Treasury itself did so as it tweeted the news about VED being extended to electric vehicles.

Richard Dilks, chief executive of the national shared transport charity Collaborative Mobility UK (CoMoUK), urged the government to rethink its plans, saying: “Reducing emissions from transport is vital if the UK government is to meet its commitment to cut overall emissions by 78 per cent by 2035 and reach its net zero target by 2050.

“Transport remains the UK’s largest source of emissions, so it is important that any changes to vehicle taxation also deliver transport decarbonisation.

“This means supporting shared transport, including shared electric vehicles like those in car clubs, as well as public transport, active travel and delivering on targets such as boosting vehicle occupancy.

“We know that car clubs help to reduce the overall number of vehicles on the road network, giving space back to communities and helping to improve air quality in towns and cities.

“We think government should exempt car club vehicles, which form a tiny fraction of the UK’s car fleet but serve over 800,000 members, from Vehicle Excise Duty,” he added.

Simon joined road.cc as news editor in 2009 and is now the site’s community editor, acting as a link between the team producing the content and our readers. A law and languages graduate, published translator and former retail analyst, he has reported on issues as diverse as cycling-related court cases, anti-doping investigations, the latest developments in the bike industry and the sport’s biggest races. Now back in London full-time after 15 years living in Oxford and Cambridge, he loves cycling along the Thames but misses having his former riding buddy, Elodie the miniature schnauzer, in the basket in front of him.

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35 comments

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HoarseMann | 2 years ago
1 like

The cost of fuelling an electric car has gone up way more than petrol or diesel has ever done. This fair fuel lot should stop moaning about a very small rise in cost and just be grateful they can actually still buy fossil fuels.

As for the treasury calling it road tax, I guess it sounded odd applying an emissions tax to a zero emission vehicle. They could still call it VED, but change the E to efficiency. A 'vehicle efficiency duty' would ensure the worst polluters pay the greatest and the smaller, more efficient, vehicles are rewarded with lower or zero rates, no matter the type of fuel.

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mark1a replied to HoarseMann | 2 years ago
2 likes

I think I've mentioned this a few times now, but VED has not been based around emissions for new cars since 2017. Stop calling it an emissions tax. 

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HoarseMann replied to mark1a | 2 years ago
2 likes

Have you got a link for that? I thought it was based on emissions?:

The reformed VED system retains and strengthens the CO2-based FYRs to incentivise uptake of the very cleanest cars

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/vehicle-excise-duty/vehicle-e...

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Rich_cb replied to HoarseMann | 2 years ago
3 likes

Your link seems to back Mark up.

After the first year (which is usually rolled into the purchase price) there is no link to emissions at all.

You seem to get penalised more for an expensive low emissions car than for a cheap high emissions one.

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mark1a replied to Rich_cb | 2 years ago
6 likes

This is correct, it's only year 1 that accounts for CO2 rating. Subsequent years are a flat rate (then £140, now £165). If the list price was/is over £40k, an additonal uplift (then £310, now £355) is due to the first 5 years. It was introduced because by 2016, most cars on the road were attracting <£100 per year and were leading to a significant reduction in tax receipts.

At the time of introduction, there were some anomalies where for example, a 2017 Ford Mustang 5.0, with a 5 litre engine (CO2 299g/km) could be bought new for around £36k and attract VED at the lower rate, yet a BMW 320d (one of the lowest CO2 vehicles in its class at the time 127g/km) due it being a whisker over £40k attracted the full amount.

Rich_cb is also correct that first year VED, along with registration fees, and delivery, is all rolled into the purchase price, it's a line on the invoice.

Note that all of above applies to vehicles April 2017 onwards, between March 2001 and March 2017, the sliding scale still applies, and pre February 2001, flat rate of £180 or £295 depending on below or above 1549cc. Cars over 40 years old have a rolling exemption due to being considered classic status.

 

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HoarseMann replied to mark1a | 2 years ago
1 like

Well it's still based on emissions, even if it is just the first year when that is taken into account.

As imperfect as it is, I think it has helped push more people towards EVs and lower emission vehicles.

Whatever comes next, I do hope they look at the efficiency of the vehicle and the maximum power too. It would be silly if a Citroen Ami attracted the same annual charge as a Tesla Plaid.

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eburtthebike replied to mark1a | 2 years ago
1 like

And since it stays the same from the date the car was registered, my VED for my Dacia Logan 900cc turbo petrol is £25/year.  Still haven't got to 16,000 miles yet despite its being six years old.

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HoarseMann replied to eburtthebike | 2 years ago
0 likes

Well thank goodness you don't do many miles considering you hardly pay anything towards the upkeep of the roads!!  3

I think those very low rates did encourage the purchase of cleaner vehicles, but obviously started to become a bit of a problem in terms of lost tax revenue, hence the 2017 changes.

In some ways, loading the first year with the emissions penalty makes sense. It's the point at which you buy the car where it matters, that choice between a polluting vehicle and a cleaner vehicle. That car will then be on the road for years to come, so the annual charge after that point is largely irrelevant other than for the purposes of raising tax revenue. Especially as the initial purchaser might only be looking to keep the car for 3 years, so might not pay too much attention to the ongoing costs.

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Off the back replied to HoarseMann | 2 years ago
1 like

VED - Vehicle EXCISE Duty - Not Emmissions. Consider classic cars are exempt and possibly some of the biggest polluters its not based on emissions at all. You could own a 1980s gas guzzling V8 engined car and not pay a penny of VED. I have 3 cars in my family, 1 is a 2014 Fiesta that pays nothing, a 2016 Jaguar diesel that pays £20 a year and a new Audi that pays £165. Id suggest the Audi is the most economical of the 3 and has the cleanest engine yet pays the most. 

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HoarseMann replied to Off the back | 2 years ago
0 likes

All VED paid today on private cars is based upon emissions (plus a luxury levy).

What your collection of vehicles demonstrates is the great improvements in emissions that have occurred over the last couple of decades, mostly down to EU regulations.

This improvement in vehicle emissions, and subsequent reduction in VED revenue, is the reason the levels were changed in 2017. You can't draw comparisons between vehicles of different ages that are taxed under different rules.

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Off the back replied to HoarseMann | 2 years ago
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Ill use the Jaguar XE (180hp) as an example. It has a 2L Diesel engine. It is exactly the same engine used in the 2L diesel XE 180hp today, The emissions are the same, the fuel consumption is the same. Nothing has change in that engines design in any way but if you buy 2017 onwards the tax is 165 quid a year compared to 20 before. That shows that the VED is not linked to the emissions in any way. Its a luxury tax because of the new price of the vehicle. If you wanted to link it to emissions then the older less effiecient cars should be hit the hardest and lower tax would be put on more effiecient models to encourage getting rid of the older more polluitng ones. But when you consider that the govt is bringing in VED for electric that should show you it doesnt matter if your car is clean co2 free, powered by unicorn farts its still going to be taxed . 

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HoarseMann replied to Off the back | 2 years ago
0 likes

2017 VED is linked to emissions - at the time of purchase (as that's when it can make a difference to emissions).

You can't compare vehicles purchased at different times under different rules. Of course you're now paying more from 2017 for exactly the same engine, as that's the whole reason they changed the rules in 2017; they were losing revenue because new vehicle emissions had improved so much.

Older, less efficient models are hit quite hard - one of our cars is 17 years old, in band J and costs a whopping £330 per year, but barely does any miles.

The rules are changing again (like they did in 2017), to tax EV's because the revenue is dropping. I think it's a bit unfair that they're retrospectively applying this tax to existing EV owners. I also think it's unfair that they're going to only have 2 tiers for EVs.

Making it more about efficiency would be a better idea in my view. Even if you have an EV, that electricity has to be generated somehow. We're nowhere near 100% renewable electricty generation, so vehicles that are frugal with a low kW/mile should be encouraged. The new scheme only seems to differentiate EV vehicles based upon price, which is probably not a bad way to do it, as the more expensive tend to be the more powerful and less efficient. But two levels with not a great deal between them makes it a very blunt tool.

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Pyro Tim replied to HoarseMann | 2 years ago
0 likes

The E stands for Excise. Not emissions, not efficiency. It's just a vehicle tax, Vehicle Excise Duty

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HoarseMann replied to Pyro Tim | 2 years ago
1 like

Yes, the 'E' does stand for excise. I'm suggesting it could change to efficiency and move from being an emissions based tax to an efficiency base tax.

It could be used to recognise that choosing a small, efficient EV, is beneficial over a larger, less efficient, more powerful EV.

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mattw | 2 years ago
1 like

I don't believe a word of it.

I'd say he's setting it up as something to blame for the slightly smaller hikes in taxes on BEVs he may be announcing.

Look ! I'm hitting fossil fueled cars even harder !

My numbers say that in the long term he needs about £2.5k per year from each electric car. Chatting in the EV fora, they seem to prefer tax based on weight, battery size and energy consumption.

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Secret_squirrel replied to mattw | 2 years ago
1 like

Interesting where did you get those "numbers" from?

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wycombewheeler replied to Secret_squirrel | 2 years ago
1 like
Secret_squirrel wrote:

Interesting where did you get those "numbers" from?

If we make the assumption that the average car does 10,000 miles a year, and 8 miles per litre (36mpg), then each car is responsible for 1250litres of fuel a year.

What is the duty/VAT on that fuel? I can't see it being £2 per litre, as even now we pay less than that, I think somewher around £1.20

So in fuel duty and fuel VAT alone, we are looking at £1.5k lost to the exchequer in fossil fuel sales, against this there will be increased electricty use and VAT on that, but much smaller than £1k per year

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Rendel Harris replied to wycombewheeler | 2 years ago
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wycombewheeler wrote:

What is the duty/VAT on that fuel? I can't see it being £2 per litre, as even now we pay less than that, I think somewher around £1.20

According to the RAC 45% of the forecourt price is tax, so it'd have to get very expensive before the government was making £1.20 a litre. Unleaded today is £1.64 a litre (again RAC) so the exchequer will get just under 74p a litre.

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mark1a replied to Rendel Harris | 2 years ago
0 likes
Rendel Harris wrote:
wycombewheeler wrote:

What is the duty/VAT on that fuel? I can't see it being £2 per litre, as even now we pay less than that, I think somewher around £1.20

According to the RAC 45% of the forecourt price is tax, so it'd have to get very expensive before the government was making £1.20 a litre. Unleaded today is £1.64 a litre (again RAC) so the exchequer will get just under 74p a litre.

Duty on fuel is not a percentage, it's a fixed 52.95p per litre. It was 57.95p but there's a temporary 5p reduction until March 2023. VAT is charged on this so current duty is 63.54p per litre, regardless of the price at the pump. 

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/changes-to-fuel-duty-rates/fu...

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OnYerBike replied to mark1a | 2 years ago
0 likes

As Mark says, fuel duty is a flat rate per litre, but fuel (including the duty) also attracts VAT. RAC's 45% figure probably includes VAT and fuel duty as "tax" (and is presumably a rough estimate given that prices fluctuate).

So if the forecourt wanted to sell petrol for £1 per litre before tax, the pump price would be ( £1 + 52.95p [fuel duty] ) * 1.2 [VAT] = £1.84 per L, of which 42% is tax.

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Rendel Harris replied to mark1a | 2 years ago
1 like
mark1a wrote:

Duty on fuel is not a percentage, it's a fixed 52.95p per litre. It was 57.95p but there's a temporary 5p reduction until March 2023. VAT is charged on this so current duty is 63.54p per litre, regardless of the price at the pump. 

Well that's what I get for trusting a motoring organisation! But surely VAT is charged as 20% of retail price, not 20% of the fuel duty, so current revenue at 164p/litre would be 52.95p plus 32.8p VAT? 

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mark1a replied to Rendel Harris | 2 years ago
1 like
Rendel Harris wrote:

... VAT is charged as 20% of retail price, not 20% of the fuel duty, so current revenue at 164p/litre would be 52.95p plus 32.8p VAT? 

Yes, really I was just trying to show the "grossed up" duty element, the tax-on-a-tax, but yes the exchequer gets the net duty plus the all of the VAT. Also the VAT in your example would be 27.3p - VAT is not 20% of the total, it's 20% of the net added on, £1.37 net + 20% (£0.27) = £1.64.

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Hirsute replied to mark1a | 2 years ago
1 like

I did comoe across a recent twitter thread where someone posted a picture of taxation on fuel purporting to comoe from a finance company.

They said duty was 29% of the cost and vat is 20% so it's 49% tax overall. So a finance company to avoid !

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hawkinspeter | 2 years ago
0 likes

Incidentally, I also sent in a complaint to The Gurndaia although in a less antagonistic tone for their article using "Road Tax" in the headline. With The Gurnaiad, it's easier to believe that it was an oversight as I haven't noticed them being anti-cyclist. (Their complaint system is to just send an email and they don't guarantee that they'll respond)

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brooksby | 2 years ago
0 likes

Well, that was a quick U turn...

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ShutTheFrontDawes replied to brooksby | 2 years ago
0 likes

Yep. Didn't even give enough time to write to your MP in support.

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Awavey replied to ShutTheFrontDawes | 2 years ago
3 likes

tbf its not a u-turn,yet, there was nothing in the autumn statement about raising fuel duty by 12p.

what the OBR did was say when we get to March 2023, btw that 5p fuel duty cut in the last spring statement has a sunset clause that expires in March 2023, so its coming back in if you do nothing and youve got a scheduled fuel duty rise then as well, those combined would result in a 12p duty rise, even though you havent formally announced them yet.

so Hunt is right the government havent made those decisions yet about what to do with fuel duty, and wont till the next spring statement in March.

personally Id expect the scheduled rise to be frozen again, whilst the cut is just allowed back in as it was a one off temporary cut and never intended to be permanent, but it will depend on the price of oil and what state the economy is in.

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OnYerBike | 2 years ago
3 likes

Can't imagine the fuel duty on leaded petrol makes much revenue anymore...

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eburtthebike | 2 years ago
5 likes

A late entry to this year's mixed metaphor plate, but straight into contention to win the cup:

"I'm loading both barrels to fight this tooth & nail"

Also great to see HM Treasury referring to "road tax".  Honestly, you'd think that they would have caught on in the past 84 years.

The only positive thing in this micro-budget (relative to Truss's mini-budget) is that they don't seem to have cut funding for Active Travel, but quite possibly they've hidden those cuts somewhere else.

 

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Roger Geffen replied to eburtthebike | 2 years ago
6 likes
eburtthebike wrote:

The only positive thing in this micro-budget (relative to Truss's mini-budget) is that they don't seem to have cut funding for Active Travel, but quite possibly they've hidden those cuts somewhere else.

We've found no sign of any 'hidden' cuts to active travel funding. Mind you, there haven't been any cuts to roads funding either.

The one thing to note though is that, as I understand it, Government departments such as DfT won't be getting increases over the next couple of years to match inflation. Inflation is of course much higher now than when their spending budgets up to 2024/5 were originally set. So, in real terms, their funding allocations for the next couple of years won't buy as much cycling and walking provision - or road schemes for that matter - as they had been expected to.

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